A Probabilistic modeling of distribution equipment Deterioration; An application to transformer insulation.
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Abstract
Description
In this paper, a probabilistic maintenance model relating probability of failure to maintenance
activity had been developed for maintainable distribution components. This model incorporates
various levels of insulation deterioration and minor maintenance state.
It was applied to a distribution transformers ranging from 300 kVA to 15 MVA in Abule-Egba
Business Unit network of Power Holding Company of Nigeria. The result obtained from the
application study and model simulation verified the mathematical analysis of the developed
model. Although this application illustrates the development of a probabilistic deterioration
model for a distribution transformer, it can be applied to predict the performance of other
distribution components in the electric power system network.
Keywords
Q Science (General), QA Mathematics, QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science